Good morning everyone, welcome to the Pot Cakes Dynasty League Week 12 Preview. We have a quick one. Why is it quick? Well we dive way to far into the playoff picture and not far enough. The power rankings are opposite of the playoff picture. I can’t do it all. I need help, my editor left me, my WIFE LEFT ME. In her defense we’ve never met. Anyways, we are going to dive into the game of the week and check out the matchups.
Co-Game of the Week, yes, we are doing co-game of the weeks.
Batman v. Trashman
v.
Batman and Trashman are in a tight one. The 6th spot is wide open. Trashman could really use this win here to keep the pressure off. Batman has Gaskin, Swift, A.J. Dillon, DeVonta Smith, MVS, Shenault, and Waller. Trashman has Cordarrelle, Chubb, Golladay, Landry, and Mark Andrews. Batman will likely be a 20-point favorite when this gets closer, so maybe Batman puts the pressure on.
Co-Game of the Week Number 2
Mush’s Mongrels v. Teach
v.
See game above, it’s just like that. Mush has RBs, Hendy and Gibby. He also has WRs with Deebo, OBJ, and Michael Gallup. Teach has Mixon and Pollard. Teach has D.J. Moore and Waddle. Mush is an 8 point favorite, I think he might get one here.
Bruce v. Bottom Bunk
v.
Bruce needs [SPOILER] a win to get in. Luckily for Bruce he plays the worst team in the history of the PCDL. Bruce has Zeke, JT, Fournette, and Najee. Bruce has Godwin, Renfrow, and Bateman. B.B. has nothing. B.B. is trying to score 100 points. Bruce is like a 63 point favorite. Bruce will double up B.B.
Daddy Wombat v. CrossFit
v.
D.W. needs wins. He faces the third best team in the PCDL. Will D.W. survive another week? D.W. has James Rob, D.K., and Claypool. CrossFit has a lot, like a lot. CrossFit has CMC, Ekeler, Lockett, Kupp, and either Brady or Dak. CrossFit is a 52 point favorite, he gets it done.
Pistol v. Touchdown Guy
v.
I do not really need to get into this one. Pistol has Kyle Pitts. Touchdown Guy has Barkley, Josh Jacobs, Kittle, Evans, and Thielen. TDG is going to win big time as a 42 point favorite.
PeePaw v. JonnyDIII’s Joyful Demons
v.
This is a big revenge game. Herbert, Ty Johnson, Singletary, Sanders, Hunt, and Cooks, all look to get their revenge. PeePaw is healthy with Monty and Cook. JD3 has Diggs, Chase, and McLaurin. PeePaw is a 7 point favorite, this should be a great matchup.
Now let’s look at Dr. Tilt.
Dr. Tilt Week 12 Picks
Again ***Please check your local, county, state, country, gaming, and other laws to see if gambling is allowed and available near you.
Here’s the Week 12 prescription from the Doc:
Vikings +3 @ 49ers
Bears @ Lions +3.5
Chargers -2.5 @ Broncos
Dr. Tilt is 13-20 on the Season.
We will look at the power rankings in the reverse order:
Bottom Bunk
Daddy Wombat
PeePaw
Pistol
Batman
Teach
Trashman
Mush
JonnyDIII
CrossFit
Bruce
Touchdown Guy
We are diving into the Playoff Picture. We look at the scenarios on how to get in/out of the playoffs. We separate the teams into two categories, those who are OUT and those who are IN if the season ended today. Let’s take a look at who is out and if anyone is out out of the playoffs.
Out
Bottom Bunk – 2-9 – Bruce, JD3, Mush –
Options:
- prepare for offseason.
- B.B. is Officially Eliminated, 0% chance of playoffs.
Daddy Wombat – 3-8 – CrossFit, Batman, TDG –
Options:
- Must Win out and Trashman must lose out plus 102 points,
- 102? If Trashman loses out, that means Pistol has 1 win, so Pistol must also go 1-2 with the 1 win being against Trashman
- Batman beats Trashman if Trashman loses out, that means Batman cannot win a second game
- Win out and Mush loses out plus 315 points.
- Mush losing out means a win for Teach and PeePaw
- If Teach wins 2 games, D.W. is out, so Teach has to beat Mush and lose to both Bruce and PeePaw
- This means PeePaw has two wins, so PeePaw must lose to JD3 for D.W. to make playoffs
- 102? If Trashman loses out, that means Pistol has 1 win, so Pistol must also go 1-2 with the 1 win being against Trashman
- Eliminated if Mush/Trashman/PeePaw win this week. D.W. has a 5% chance of making playoffs.
PeePaw – 4-7 – JD3, Mush, Teach –
Options:
- Win out and Trashman only wins 1
- In this situation it is possible for Batman and Pistol to get a win against Trashman
- Batman and Pistol may also win a second game, PeePaw has points on Pistol, but would need to outscore Batman by 80 points if they have the same record
- Win out and Mush only wins 1 plus 197 points
- Mush can beat either B.B. or Teach, if Mush beats Teach only then that means Teach has to beat Bruce for PeePaw to play for his playoff spot Week 14
- If Mush beats B.B. only, Teach and PeePaw are playing in Week 14 for a potential playoff spot and PeePaw will need 123 points
- Win 2 and Trashman loses out
- Trashman losing out means a win for both Batman and Pistol, Batman and Pistol can only win 2 games tops, Pistol has less points than PeePaw, but PeePaw would need to outscore Batman by 80
- Win 2 and Mush loses out plus 197 points
- Mush losing out means Teach has one win, this sets up a Week 14 playoff spot between PeePaw and Teach
- Mush can beat either B.B. or Teach, if Mush beats Teach only then that means Teach has to beat Bruce for PeePaw to play for his playoff spot Week 14
- Win out and JD3 loses out plus 114 points
- Win out and CrossFit loses out plus 126 points
- This also means that Batman and Pistol have to beat Mush and CrossFit as their 2 wins, CrossFit is winning in points so PeePaw has to outscore CrossFit
- Win out and CrossFit loses out plus 126 points
PeePaw has a 10% chance of making playoffs.
Pistol – 5-6 – TDG, CrossFit, Trashman
Options:
- Pistol wins 2 games
- Mush and/or Trashman must lose two games, PLUS Batman, Teach must lose 1 game
- Pistol has points on Trashman, Pistol would need to outscore Batman by 96 points, Pistol would need to outscore Teach by 131, and Pistol would need to outscore Mush by 214
- PeePaw can win out in this situation, Pistol needs to outscore PeePaw by 17
- CrossFit and/or JD3 lose out, Pistol needs to score 130 to beat JD3 and/or 265 for CrossFit
- This means Trashman beats CrossFit, so Trashman may end up winning two games, so see above
- This means Batman beats CrossFit, so Batman may end up winning two games, so see above
- Mush and/or Trashman must lose two games, PLUS Batman, Teach must lose 1 game
- Pistol wins 1 game
- If PeePaw wins 2, Pistol has to outscore PeePaw by 17 points
- PeePaw has to beat Mush in this situation
- If PeePaw loses to Teach then Mush can beat Teach
- If PeePaw beats Teach then Teach must beat Mush
- If Trashman beats Batman and loses out, that means Batman still could be in the hunt, Pistol in a tie between Trashman and Batman must outscore Batman by 96
- If PeePaw wins 2, Pistol has to outscore PeePaw by 17 points
Pistol has a 20% chance of making the playoffs.
Batman – 5-6 – Trashman, TDG, CrossFit
Options:
- Batman wins out
- That means he beats Trashman
- Batman would just need to keep points on Trashman
- Batman would need to outscore Teach by 51 if Teach also wins out
- If Teach loses and Batman wins out he is in
- That means he beats Trashman
- Batman wins 2 games
- Mush can win 1 game, Batman needs to outscore him by 119
- Trashman can only win 1 game, Batman has the points
- AND Teach can win 2, Batman just has to outscore Teach by 51
- Batman wins 1 game
- Mush and/or Trashman must lose out and Batman needs 119 points for Mush and already has Trashman in points
- Teach can only win 1 and Batman needs 51 points
Batman has a 30% chance of making the playoffs.
Teach – 5-6 – Mush, Bruce, PeePaw
Options:
- Teach wins out
- He would still need Trashman and/or Mush to lose 1 game and would need to only outscore Mush by 75 points
- Teach wins 2 games
- Mush can only win 1
- Teach needs to outscore Mush by 75
- Trashman can only win 1
- Teach is in
- Mush can only win 1
- Teach wins 1 game
- He beats Mush and Mush loses out, he needs 75 points
- Teach wins 1 and Trashman loses out, he’s in
Teach has a 45% chance to win
In
Trashman – 6-5 – Batman, TDG, Pistol
Options:
- Win out and Trashman is in
- Win 2 and Trashman just needs Teach/Batman/Pistol to not win out
- Win 1
- Teach/Pistol/Batman can all win 2 games
- Trashman needs to outscore Teach by 197 points
- Trashman needs to outscore Pistol 58 points
- Trashman needs to outscore Batman by 53 points
- Teach/Pistol/Batman can all win 2 games
- Lose out
- Teach/Pistol/Batman can win 1 game
- Trashman needs to outscore Teach by 197 points
- Trashman needs to outscore Pistol 58 points
- Trashman needs to outscore Batman by 53 points
- PeePaw can win 2 games
- Trashman needs to needs to outscore PeePaw by 75 points
- Daddy Wombat can win out
- Trashman has the points
- Teach/Pistol/Batman can win 1 game
Trashman has a 55% chance of making the playoffs
Mush – 6-5 – Teach, PeePaw, B.B.
Options:
- Win out and Mush is in
- Win 2
- If a win is against Teach then
- Batman and/or Pistol win out Mush has points on both
- Trashman would also have to win out or outscore Mush to push him out
- Trashman plays Batman, so if Trashman beats Batman than only Pistol and Trashman can push out Mush
- Trashman loses to Batman, then all three Trashman, Batman, and Pistol are in play to push out Mush
- If a win is against Teach then
- Win 1
- If JD3 loses out Mush has the advantage
- If CrossFit loses out then he needs 51 points
- Mush has points on Trashman so Trashman would need to win two to push Mush down and 270 points
- Any of the above PLUS, OR any two of the following
- Pistol/Teach/Batman need 2 wins
- Teach would need 75 to bump Mush
- Pistol would need 115 to bump Mush
- Batman would need 119 to bump Mush
- PeePaw could win out and would need 197 to bump Mush
- Mush loses out
- If JD3 loses 2 Mush has the advantage
- If CrossFit loses 2 then he needs 51 points
- Mush has points on Trashman so Trashman would need to win 1 to push Mush down plus 270 points
- Any of the above PLUS, OR any two of the following
- Pistol/Teach/Batman need 1 win
- Teach would need 75 to bump Mush
- Pistol would need 115 to bump Mush
- Batman would need 119 to bump Mush
- PeePaw could win 2 and would need 197 points
- Daddy Wombat could win out plus 315 points
Mush has a 65% chance of making the playoffs.
JonnyDIII – 7-4 – PeePaw, B.B., Bruce
Options:
- Win 2 and in
- Win 1
- Pistol/Teach/Batman any of them must win out
- Pistol needs 131 points
- Teach has points, JD3 would need 10 to get in
- Batman needs 37 to get in
- Lose out
- Same as Win 1 but Pistol/Teach/Batman only need 2 wins
- PeePaw must win out, but PeePaw plays Teach, Teach would have to win his non-PeePaw games
- PeePaw needs 114 points
JD3 has a 75% chance of making the playoffs.
CrossFit – 7-4 – D.W., Pistol, Batman
Options:
- Win 2 and in
- Win 1
- Same as JD3 except CrossFit plays Batman, so if the 1 win is against Batman then Batman obviously cannot take out CrossFit
- Pistol/Teach/Batman any of them must win out
- Pistol needs 270 points
- Teach 125 points
- Batman needs 169 points
- Lose out
- Same as Win 1 but Pistol/Teach/Batman only need 2 wins, and obvi Batman would have to beat CrossFit
- PeePaw must win out, but PeePaw plays Teach, Teach would have to lose to PeePaw for both to have a chance
- PeePaw needs 247 points
CrossFit has an 88% chance of making the playoffs.
Bruce – 8-3 – B.B.,Teach, JD3
Options:
· Pistol/Batman/Teach lose 1 game and Bruce is in
· Bruce loses out and any of the following teams win out
o Pistol must outscore by 251
o Batman must out score by 156
o Teach must outscore by 111
o This also requires Trashman/Mush/JD3/CrossFit to stay in the playoffs
Bruce has a 98% chance of making the playoffs.
Touchdown Guy – 8-3 – Pistol, Trashman, D.W.
· Pistol/Batman/Teach lose 1 game and TDG is in
· TDG loses out and any of the following teams win out
o Pistol must outscore by 382
o Batman must out score by 288
o Teach must outscore by 143
o This also requires Trashman/Mush/JD3/CrossFit to stay in the playoffs
Touchdown Guy has a 99% chance of making the playoffs.
Well that does it for this week. Hope you and yours have a better tomorrow and a Happy Thanksgiving. Good luck on your playoff hopes (playoff hopes in 2031 for Bottom Bunk).
Let’s Go!
JonnyDIII
DIII Digest 